We shouldn’t expect inflation to immediately get out of control. Instead, it should come at us in waves.
IronBridge Insights
The Icarus Market
The myth of Icarus warned of the dangers of over-confidence. If we compared the markets to the flight of Icarus, how close are we to the sun? Close enough to melt our wings? “Well, I think we tried very hard not to be overconfident, because when you get overconfident, that’s when something snaps up and […]
Ain’t it Funny how Falling Feels like Flying
The GameStop saga represents an investment fervor that has gripped the media and markets over the past few weeks. What really happened, and what are the takeaways from yet another strange environment we find ourselves in? “Ain’t it funny how falling feels like flying, for a little while.” -Jeff Bridges in the movie “Crazy Heart” […]
Twin Risks: Valuations and the Fed
As we enter 2021, we turn our focus to things that could change the current bullish environment. Two main risks may emerge as the market continues its push higher: Valuations and the Fed. “Life is a cycle, always in motion, if good times have moved on, so will times of trouble.” -Indian Proverb What a […]
New Highs are Bullish
November was one of the strongest months in market history. Various markets across the globe are pushing to new all-time highs. When conditions are bullish, we should expect bullish outcomes. In this month’s report, we look at an important investing lesson and identify the top two potential outcomes for markets in the coming months. “If […]
Elections and Overconfidence
With less than a month to the election, we look at the dangers of overconfidence, analyze sector performance under tremendously different legislative environments, and discuss whether you should reduce risk prior to November 3rd. “It ain’t what you don’t know that gets you into trouble. It’s what you know for sure that just ain’t so.” -Mark […]
Does GDP Matter to Stocks?
Sometimes what should make sense simply doesn’t. This is especially true this year. We just witnessed the worst quarterly economic data in history, yet markets have now officially made up all of their losses from the COVID crash. This begs the question…does GDP matter to stocks? “A man should look for what is, and not […]
COVID vs. The Fed
Something we at IronBridge have been discussing over the past month has been an expectation that COVID cases would rise following Memorial Day and the opening up of the economy and society. This is now happening. In financial markets, increased risks around COVID are battling the liquidity tsunami from the Fed. Who will win? “Those […]