Market volatility has risen over the past few days, and risks have increased dramatically. We are reducing equity exposure to find shelter from this market storm.
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Stick Save
Last week, the market made an important move higher just when it needed to. This sets up for the most important two weeks of the year. Will the move higher continue?
Wise Men and Fools
An important skill in volatile markets is to acknowledge that you don’t know what will happen. We review the conflicting signals to help understand the current environment.
Fed Raises Interest Rates: Implications and What We’re Watching
After reducing rates from 2.5% in 2019 to zero at the onset of the pandemic, the Federal Reserve has hiked rates by 0.25%. What does this mean and what should we be watching?
Ukraine War: Market Update
This may be the most important few weeks since the 2008 financial crisis. We review the sanctions against Russia, look at the S&P 500, and discuss the Fed’s likely path forward.
Fed Meeting: Popping the Bubble or Normal Volatility?
So much for the New Year’s wish of putting 2020 and 2021 behind us and getting back to normal. Or are we? The markets had one of the calmest years in history last year, mainly on the back of the mega-cap tech firms. But that calm was shattered as the market fell over 12% in […]
5 Themes for 2022 and Why We Hate Year-End Predictions
We hate year-end predictions. Maybe “hate” is the wrong word…it is far to kind. We absolutely despise the cringeworthy year-end predictions that accompany this time of year. (Feel free to imagine other colorful adjectives we may use to describe them.) Why? Because they are worthless. There is no accountability whatsoever for those who make them. […]
Houdini’s Hole
The Paramount Theatre in Austin, Texas is a city treasure. It has an amazing variety of shows, and the list of notable performers is unmatched. It was built in 1915, and began mostly as a vaudeville house. Just a few of the notable performers in its history are Miles Davis, the Marx Brothers, George Carlin, […]