Last week, the market made an important move higher just when it needed to. This sets up for the most important two weeks of the year. Will the move higher continue?
volatility
Market Volatility Webinar: When the Levee Breaks
Market volatility has risen dramatically this year. In this episode, we discuss the markets, Fed, levels to watch on the S&P 500, the big four stocks, potential outcomes and portfolio positioning.
Wise Men and Fools
An important skill in volatile markets is to acknowledge that you don’t know what will happen. We review the conflicting signals to help understand the current environment.
Fed Raises Interest Rates: Implications and What We’re Watching
After reducing rates from 2.5% in 2019 to zero at the onset of the pandemic, the Federal Reserve has hiked rates by 0.25%. What does this mean and what should we be watching?
Ukraine War: Market Update
This may be the most important few weeks since the 2008 financial crisis. We review the sanctions against Russia, look at the S&P 500, and discuss the Fed’s likely path forward.
5 Themes for 2022 and Why We Hate Year-End Predictions
We hate year-end predictions. Maybe “hate” is the wrong word…it is far to kind. We absolutely despise the cringeworthy year-end predictions that accompany this time of year. (Feel free to imagine other colorful adjectives we may use to describe them.) Why? Because they are worthless. There is no accountability whatsoever for those who make them. […]
It Came from Left Field
Last Friday, the day after Thanksgiving, the market fell almost 1000 points. What was that all about? First off, let’s put this move in context. Volatility Spikes The VIX rose 54% on Friday. This was the fourth largest spike in the history of the volatility index, as shown below. There are some interesting things that […]
The Secret Downsides of Diversification
Diversification is not the free lunch that many investment professionals claim.